letter-spacing: .03em; } } A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". font-weight: 300; padding: 2px 0; padding-left: 16px; In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. The first Black woman and first lesbian to lead the city, the former . [meta_value] => overflow-y: hidden; ( [post__in] => Array [6], Inconsistencies among vote data aggregation processes and redistricting cycles can present challenges in determining the PVI. } [author] => With the PVI ratings and the 2020 elections on the horizon, legislators in 29 states have introduced over 100 bills calling for changes to their states redistricting process or for the creation of an independent redistricting commission. document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.remove('leg-hnt-hide'); .race_header.republican { margin-bottom: 5px; According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. Stakeholder Management & Engagement Software, News: Announcing the Launch of Quorum PAC, Government Relations Strategic Plan Template, Download & Build an Effective Stakeholder Engagement Matrix, Three Examples of Effective Government Relations Strategy, Three Examples of Successful Public Affairs Strategy, Seven Examples of Effective Grassroots Advocacy Campaigns, Five Examples of Stakeholder Engagement Strategy, 9 Innovations for Your Public Affairs Strategy. University of Wisconsin Law SchoolView posts , Vice Dean for Faculty [s] => padding-top: 3px; } ) Tre Pennie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020. In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. ) The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. [monthnum] => 0 .votebox-results-cell--check { But for places that have seen rapid shifts towards one party or the other in the last six years such as in South Florida or suburbs of Dallas the new formula "leans in" to the transformation underway. [w] => 0 text-align: right; [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. color: #6db24f; ) box-sizing: border-box; Bruce E. Cain, Wendy K. Tam Cho, Yan Y. Liu&Emily R. Zhang,A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, 59 Wm. * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. [5] The table below reflects the current state of Congress and governors, based on the most recent election results. cook partisan voting index by state. .non_result_row { ) .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h5.votebox-header-election-type { [1] [2] Save time and grow faster with modern, easy-to-use tools. The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. position: relative; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018. Edward B. Foley, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism (May 10, 2021). } [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. padding-bottom: 7px; box-sizing: border-box; [8], 2000 } She defeated Ron Bush (R) and Lance Flores (L) in the general election. There were no incumbents in this race. padding: 0.5em 0; Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+22. [tag_id] => border-top: 1px solid #aaa; She defeated Wilson Aurbach (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. padding-bottom: 0px; The app uses precinct-level election data largely compiled by the Voting Election & Science Team (VEST), a consortium of academic researchers. Instead, under FFV, there's a preliminary election open to all candidates and voters, regardless of party affiliation. Source. [meta_query] => WP_Meta_Query Object [4], 2008 There were no incumbents in this race. [post_date] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. In the current redistricting cycle, six highly competitive districts in the House of Representatives were drawn. The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. These lines are subject to veto by the governor. It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation. The Cook Political Report introduced the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts.. Here's how it works: "A Partisan Voter Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the . If you have turned it off manually in your browser, please enable it to better experience this site. left: -9999px; } A swing district . width: 350px; .leg-infobox-block { } } Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Tre Pennie and Eric Williams in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 3, 2020. } On November 5, 1996, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. ) [paged] => 0 The Senate approved the proposal in an 18-13 vote, and the House approved the bill in an 84-59 vote. .electionsectionheading { table.census-table { 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. border-bottom: 1px solid grey; background-color: #f9d334; The 2022 Cook PVI district and state lists in a spreadsheet format are available for active Cook Political Report subscribers. [p] => 0 Professor of Law, Harvard Law School, Ebersold Chair in Constitutional Law, The Ohio State UniversityView posts , Dean and Sol & Lillian Goldman Professor of Law, Yale Law SchoolView posts , Alfred M. Rankin Professor of Law at Yale Law School (on leave)View posts , Professor of Law, Georgetown University Law CenterView posts , Professor of Law at LMU Loyola Law School, Los AngelesView posts , Bouma Fellow in Law and Professor of Law, University of Iowa College of LawView posts , Professor of Law, The George Washington University Law SchoolView posts , James B. McClatchy Professor of Law, And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. [day] => 0 [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. .leg-hnt-border-top { width: 150px; [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary Republicans continue to benefit from an electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels. Request the spreadsheet here. By the most stringent measure, the CPI was accurate in over 94% of legislative races. ) Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. 8, 2022, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar. Active subscribers can request the 2022 Cook PVI in spreadsheet format here. [9], 1998 The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. .non_result_row th { At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. .results_table { [primary_table] => font-size: 12px; The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. } [post_name__in] => Array background-color: #db0000; } ) .votebox { .non_result_row div { border: 1px solid #aaa; [tag] => [15] Gov. .leg-hnt-flex-column { } The number of "hyper-competitive" seats (R+3 to D+3) fell from 51 to 45, our lowest count ever, but far from a total collapse. padding-top: 8px; First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. } Engage advocates and drive targeted actions with grassroots advocacy software. In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. [has_or_relation:protected] => 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 districts, 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The PVI was developed by Charles Cook, editor and publisher of Cook, and scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024. The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. For example, the 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections. First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole., Professor of Law and Political Science 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, House Rating Change: Slotkin Senate Run Moves MI-07 to Toss Up, Michigan Senate: With Slotkin Announcement, Democrats Look to Avoid Primary, Indiana Senate: Primary War Averted After Daniels Passes, Banks Sews Up Support, Montana Senate: To Democrats Relief, Tester Saddles Up For Reelection. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the districts voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. Rick Perry (R) in June 2013. According to Cook, the PVI "is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts, thereby making it relevant in both mid-term and presidential election years. [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. Competitive congressional districts have been steadily disappearing for decades. .inner_percentage, .inner_percentage.Nonpartisan, .inner_percentage.Independent, .inner_percentage.Constitution, .inner_percentage.unknown { 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. ( } The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. background: #4c4c4c; [13], Texas enacted new congressional districts on October 25, 2021. .results_table_container { The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. .inner_percentage.Libertarian { [12], 1992 [feed] => Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc.. Following each election and round of redistricting, presidential results are compiled to generate PVI scores for each congressional district. The results have been certified. [11], 1994 [post_author] => 1 Contact our sales team. Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 115th Congress The Cook Political Report Arranged by State/District. At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. On November 2, 2010, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the Hybrid Partisan Voting Index (hPVI) was developed for Wilkerson Public Affairs by Braedon Wilkerson in 2014. The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. text-align: center; The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. text-align: left !important; This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. @media screen and (max-width: 350px) { In Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas State Legislature. L. Rev. [table_aliases:protected] => Array [author__in] => Array } ( On November 8, 1994, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. } On November 5, 2002, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. of Constitutional Law, She defeated Carrie Kelleher (R) and Barbara Robinson (L) in the general election. [meta_table] => background-color: green; The median Senate seat (a tie between Georgia and North Carolina) has a Cook PVI score of R+3 three points to the right of the nation. top: -1px; } A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. [author__not_in] => Array font-style: italic; display: flex; If you are using a content blocker, check to see that you have not globally turned off Javascript. To calculate new 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 newly drawn districts, we've used 2016 and 2020 election results by district publicly available via Dave's Redistricting App, a free online mapping tool originally developed by Dave Bradlee that allows any user to draw and evaluate district boundaries. }. [tag_slug__in] => Array [fields] => Connecticut's 2nd District also had a D+3 rating. background-color: #6db24f; .votebox-covid-disclaimer { Sign up to receive best practices and product announcements. [relation] => But Hes Still a Danger. Apply today! margin: 0; top: 2px; } [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition Source1Source2. } [clauses:protected] => Array On November 7, 2000, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. align-items: center; St. Johns Legal Studies Research Paper No. The Senate released a proposed congressional map on September 27, 2021, and approved an amended version of the proposal on October 8, 2021. Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election. } [post_parent__not_in] => Array line-height: 1.5em; overflow: hidden; font-weight: bold; A swing district, according to Cook, is defined by a PVI rating ranging from D+5 to R+5. .leg-hnt-title { display: flex; } vertical-align: top; The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI, usually just PVI) has become one of the standard measures of assessing a political unit's partisan lean, one often seen in diaries on this. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. box-sizing: border-box; [3], 2010 border-collapse: collapse !important; box-sizing: border-box; Thus, Partisan Propensity Index, or PPI, is defined as the percentage chance that the Democrat would have won and open-seat race for Congress in a particular district given the conditions. } margin-bottom: -2px !important; !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r